From what I've seen from playing the game, is that infiltration has about a 25% chance of working and you sending an attack on the landed UFO has no effect on the outcome. You can have a score of +10,000 in that country and still lose it at the end of the month if the RNG gives you a bad roll.
As for bases. They tend to raise scores in practice, if you raid them for kills and weapons and also asault the supply ships. I've never seen a country that I had a presence in stop funding because of a base. Only to pittifully low scores or infilrations.
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And where its the key "any"
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press 'Enter' and you turn on/off the markings on the map.