Thread: Iran on Fire
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Old 25-06-2009, 08:14 PM   #4
Japo
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tulac View Post
Basically ajatollah is in command, 2nd generation of revolutionaries is trying to seize all the power from the old guard and reformators.
Dunno I've heard that analysis before but it doesn't quite add up. Granted I once said to a friend that Ahmadinejad is so megalomaniac that he might prove too much even for the ayatollahs; but he's always been closely aligned with them. And now the Supreme Ayatollah has inequivocally supported the official ellection results, and Ahmadinejad.

In addition, Ahmadinejad does not belong to any 2nd generation, but to the 1st generation of the Iranian Revolution.

If Ahmadinejad wanted to take power he would need to go for a full coup, and most of the armed forces also including the Revolutionary Guards are likely to follow their supreme commander ayatollah Khamenei.

You'll have to show me some symptoms that Ahmadinejad is not aligned with Khamenei.

I'd bet that, if they manage to quell this, which is most probable to happen, Khamenei will follow China's example and terminate any cosmetic pseudo democratic traits from the government, to prevent it from repeating. Already up to now candidates must be approved by the regime, but they could go for single candidate ellections or an equivalency.
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